RCM Robinson Capital Management LLC
  The Robinson Report           A quick and simple weekly market performance report.
Friday, November 24, 2006



Week in review:  

  • The Markets  The holiday weekend and a weakening dollar dampened the market last week, as investors wait for cash register receipts from retailers and keep a wary eye on the slipping dollar, which could indicate that the Federal Reserve would move off its holding pattern. The Dow ended the week at 12,280.17, down 0.51 percent, and the S&P closed at 1,400.95, down 0.02 percent. The NASDAQ had the only gain, ending the week up 0.59 percent to 2,460.26

  • Up Usually The S&P 500 has been positive (on a total return basis) in the 4th quarter of midterm election years 86 percent of the time since 1950 (Source: Wall Street Journal).

  • Democratic Majority When the 110th session of Congress convenes in January 2007, the Democrats will control both the House and the Senate for the first time since 1994. When the Democrats controlled both chambers of Congress during the eight years from 1987-94, the S&P 500 stock index averaged 11.9 percent per year on a total return basis (Source: BTN Research, House and Senate).

  • Stay Diversified The international stock index EAFE was up 18.48 percent YTD (total return), better than the S&P 500s 12.23 percent YTD total return. The EAFE has bested the S&P 500 in each of the last four (2002-05) calendar years  

  • Taxes A married couple filing a joint return with $100,000 of taxable income for tax year 2007 is in the 25 percent marginal tax bracket but an 18 percent (approximate) effective tax bracket. If the same couple has $200,000 of taxable income, they will be in the 33 percent marginal tax bracket but a 23 percent (approximate) effective tax bracket (Source: IRS).    

Featured article: Housekeeping For Your Taxable Accounts 

ASSET CLASS RETURNS (see disclosures below)  


Portfolio Performance REVIEW (see disclosures below)  





"How do unthaw a frozen turkey? Blow in it's ear." 

--Johnny Carson


% change in week ending 11/24/06



US Lg Val (Russell 1000 Value)


US Sm (Russell 2000)


Intl (EAFE)


Intl Sm (EAFE Small)


3-5yr Govt (Bloomberg)






% change

Bloomberg Silicon Valley Index

Last 12 months




Last 5 sessions




% change

Global Hedge Fund Index  (11/22/06)

Last 12 months




Last 5 days




RCM Robinson Capital Management LLC
27 Reed Blvd, Mill Valley, CA 94941
Tel: 1.415.771.9421
Fax: 415.762.1980

Weekly Market Review by OppenheimerFunds

Oppenheimer shareholder log-in






















Portfolio Performance is calculated by the Bloomberg Professional System on a total return basis. Current portfolio allocations

Important Performance Disclosure Information

Asset Class returns are represented by market indexes that are unmanaged baskets of securities. Investors cannot directly invest in market indexes. Foreign securities involve additional risks, including foreign currency changes, political risks, foreign taxes and different methods of accounting and financial reporting.

Portfolio Performance is the total return of seven unique asset allocation strategies that seek to fit the distinct needs of different investor goals, risk tolerance levels and investment time horizon. Each portfolio contains up to 16 individual funds totaling over 4000 securities, managed by OppenheimerFunds. The portfolios are designed to create efficient diversification through the selection of mutual funds that may have a  low correlation between asset classes. The purpose of these tables and charts is for you to follow specific market indexes, observe asset class rotation and to compare actual portfolio returns net of management fees. Asset allocation strategy is available here.

Performance quoted is past performance and cannot guarantee comparable future results. Performance figures reflect reinvestment of distributions and changes in net asset value (NAV). Investment return and principal value will vary so that you may have a gain or loss when you sell shares. The contingent deferred sales charge (CDSC) on Class C is 1%. No CDSC will be imposed on redemptions of Class C shares following one year from date shares were purchased. Performance shown does not include applicable CDSC, which would have reduced performance.


Before investing in any of the OppenheimerFunds, investors should carefully consider a fund's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. The fund's prospectus contains this and other information about the fund. Read prospectuses carefully before investing.      

S&P 500 - Standard & Poor's 500 Index (not including dividends) - generally considered a U.S. Large Growth company market index.

Russell 1000 Value Index (US Lg Val) - generally considered a U.S. Large Value company market index.

Russell 2000 Index (US Sm)- generally considered a U.S. Small company market index.

EAFE - EAFE Index (Intl) (not including dividends) Europe, Australia, Far East and generally considered a large company international market index.

EAFE Sm - EAFE Small Index (Intl Sm) (not including dividends) Europe, Australia, Far East and generally considered a small company international market index.

Bloomberg Silicon Valley Index - market index of high tech companies located in the Silicon Valley area. 
Global Hedge Fund Index - representative of the overall composition of the hedge fund universe. It is comprised of eight strategies: 
convertible arbitrage, merger arbitrage, equity hedge, equity market neutral, relative value arbitrage, event driven, distressed securities, and macro. The strategies are asset weighted based on the distribution of assets in the hedge fund industry. See hedge fund risks. 

3-5yr Treas. - Bloomberg U.S. Government Treasuries 3-5 year maturities index and generally considered a intermediate maturity U.S. Government Note index.

Asset Class - a group of investments that share similar risk and return characteristics.

All investments involve risk, including loss of principal. Foreign securities involve additional risks, including foreign currency changes, political changes, foreign taxes, and different methods of accounting and financial reporting. The foregoing has been prepared solely for informational purposes, and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or to participate in any particular trading strategy.  

The information contained herein is based on sources and data believed reliable, but is not guaranteed. Advisory services offered through RCM Robinson Capital Management LLC, SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Securities offered through Securities America, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. Douglas C. Robinson, Registered Representative. RCM Robinson Capital Management LLC and Securities America, Inc. are separate and unaffiliated.

RCM Robinson Capital Management LLC, Securities America, Inc, 27 Reed Boulevard, Mill Valley, CA 94941

(phone) 415-771-9421       (fax) 415-762-1980